MLB postseason player props today: Tuesday's best props include Parker Messick [10/13/2026]

Parker Messick over 1.5 earned runs (-116)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 58.0%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Guardians' Parker Messick over 1.5 earned runs. A probability of 58.0% gives this play an edge of 4.3% at -116 odds.

Freddy Peralta over 3.5 hits allowed (-102)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Freddy Peralta’s hits allowed prop shows a 57.1% probability and an 6.6% edge at -102 odds, according to our model.

Nick Fortes over 0.5 bases (-105)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Nick Fortes over 0.5 bases, with simulations showing a 53.5% probability and a 2.3% edge at -105.

Nick Fortes to get a hit (-106)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Nick Fortes to get a hit, with a 53.5% probability and an edge of 2.1% at -106 odds.

Freddy Peralta over 1.5 earned runs (+110)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Freddy Peralta over 1.5 earned runs for Rays, showing an edge of 5.1% at +110 odds.

Parker Messick over 1.5 walks allowed (+126)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 49.0%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Parker Messick’s walks allowed prop shows an edge of 4.8% at +126 odds, supported by a 49.0% probability according to our model.

Nick Fortes to get an RBI (+360)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 23.7%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Nick Fortes to get an RBI for Rays, with a 23.7% probability and a 2.0% edge at +360 odds.

Taylor Walls over 0.5 to steal a base (+675)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 16.3%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Taylor Walls over 0.5 to steal a base, supported by a 16.3% probability at +675 odds and an edge of 3.4%.

Ryan Vilade over 0.5 to steal a base (+2000)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 8.5%
• Game: Guardians vs. Rays (8:00PM ET)

A 3.7% edge on the over 0.5 to steal a base line makes Ryan Vilade a value play in Guardians vs. Rays, supported by a 8.5% probability at +2000 odds.

MLB Playoffs player prop summary: Tuesday, October 13, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:46AM ET:

Conclusion

For October 13, 2026, our MLB postseason prop bets feature players such as Parker Messick, Freddy Peralta and Nick Fortes. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.