New York City vs. NY Red Bulls prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/18/2026]

NY City will face NY Red Bulls in MLS action at Yankee Stadium on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects NY City as the most likely winner in this NY City vs. NY Red Bulls prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

New York City vs. NY Red Bulls prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's MLS game between NY City and NY Red Bulls, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 57.2% chance of NY City winning, a 21.2% chance for NY Red Bulls, and a 21.6% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 60.0% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +317, NY City -117
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-178/+175)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: NY City @ -117 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +175 via BetRivers

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• NY City 1-1 NY Red Bulls (10% probability)
• NY City 2-1 NY Red Bulls (9.9%)
• NY City 1-0 NY Red Bulls (8.9%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's MLS game between NY City and NY Red Bulls in MLS at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: New York City vs. NY Red Bulls
• Date: Friday, September 18, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Yankee Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, NY City has a 57.2% win probability on Friday, NY Red Bulls have a 21.2% win probability, and there is a 21.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.