Nashville vs. Austin Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Nashville vs. Austin MLS match on October 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Nashville
4
1
Q2 Stadium
Austin
Q2 Stadium
AustinAUS
Score Summary
NashvilleNSH
B. Vazquez (76')
Soccer ball icon
R. Baker-Whiting (30')
Soccer ball icon
E. Saad (67')
Soccer ball icon
S. Mohammed (88')
Soccer ball icon
H. Mukhtar (90')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Austin
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Nashville
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: B. Acosta replaces M. Corcoran
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by H. Mukhtar, assisted by S. Mohammed
    4-1
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Bauer replaces C. Espinoza
  4. 88'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Mohammed, assisted by H. Mukhtar
    3-1
  5. 83'
    Yellow Card
    B. Schwake (Nashville SC) cautioned
  6. 78'
    Yellow Card
    S. Mohammed (Nashville SC) cautioned
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: E. Tagseth replaces P. Yazbek
  8. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: D. Lovitz replaces A. Najar
  9. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Austin FC by B. Vazquez, assisted by F. Torres
    2-1
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: S. Mohammed replaces E. Saad
  11. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: P. Placheta replaces M. Desler
  12. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by E. Saad
    2-0
  13. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: B. Sabovic replaces J. Alastuey
  14. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: C. Ramirez replaces M. Uzuni
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: B. Hines-Ike replaces J. Bell
  16. 37'
    Yellow Card
    Guilherme Biro (Austin FC) cautioned
  17. 30'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by R. Baker-Whiting
    1-0

Nashville vs. Austin: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Nashville vs. Austin
  • Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Q2 Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Nashville -130, Austin 19¢, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (57¢/44¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Nashville: 53.0%
  • Austin: 22.8%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Nashville 1-1 Austin (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Nashville vs. Austin? Prediction & correct score

Nashville is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.0%.

The most likely correct score is Nashville 1-1 Austin.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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