Houston vs. Minnesota Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. Minnesota MLS match on October 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Houston
2
:
2
Allianz Field
Minnesota
Allianz Field
MinnesotaMIN
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
K. Yeboah (48')
Soccer ball icon
M. Caldeira (78')
Soccer ball icon
L. Foster (18')
Soccer ball icon
D. McGuire (90')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Minnesota
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Houston
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by D. McGuire, assisted by N. Markanich
    2-2
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Malone replaces K. Yeboah
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. McGuire replaces A. Bouzat
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: C. Harvey replaces T. Chancalay
  5. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: K. Duncan replaces C. Valerius
  6. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: M. Arana replaces D. Samassekou
  7. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces L. Ennali
  8. 82'
    Yellow Card
    W. Trapp (Minnesota United) cautioned
  9. 78'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by M. Caldeira, assisted by C. Valerius
    1-2
  10. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Gillingham replaces J. Bond
  11. 66'
    Yellow Card
    M. Gonzalez (Minnesota United) cautioned
  12. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Negri replaces Felipe Andrade
  13. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces L. Foster
  14. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Caldeira replaces B. Hlongwane
  15. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: N. Triantis replaces O. Gene
  16. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Gonzalez replaces A. Jackson
  17. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by K. Yeboah, assisted by M. Duggan
    1-1
  18. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by L. Foster
    1-0

Houston vs. Minnesota: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Minnesota
  • Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Allianz Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston 28¢, Minnesota 45¢, draw 27¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (54¢/+117)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Houston: 28.3%
  • Minnesota: 46.4%
  • Draw: 25.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Houston 1-1 Minnesota (12.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Houston vs. Minnesota? Prediction & correct score

Minnesota is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 46.4%.

The most likely correct score is Houston 1-1 Minnesota.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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