San Diego FC vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Diego FC vs. NY Red Bulls MLS match on October 10, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Hoops season sale: $30 off Dimers Pro passes. Limited time only.
FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
San Diego FC
1
4
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
San Diego FCSD
J. Hall (16')
Soccer ball icon
D. Padelford (20')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruvalcaba (27')
Soccer ball icon
E. M. Choupo-Moting (90')
Soccer ball icon
C. Bakambu (60')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY Red Bulls
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Diego FC
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: O. Valakari replaces A. Godoy
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. M. Choupo-Moting, assisted by M. Dos Santos
    1-4
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: M. Dos Santos replaces D. Padelford
  4. 86'
    Yellow Card
    K. Sargeant (San Diego FC) cautioned
  5. 83'
    Yellow Card
    D. Padelford (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  6. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Pellegrino replaces E. Achouri
  7. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Marshall-Rutty replaces J. Ruvalcaba
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: S. Kone replaces R. Donkor
  9. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. Forsberg replaces M. Sofo
  10. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces C. Cowell
  11. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: T. Parker replaces J. Che
  12. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: D. Nyangono replaces Gabriel Pirani
  13. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: C. McVey replaces I. Murphy
  14. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by C. Bakambu
    1-3
  15. 55'
    Yellow Card
    M. Duah (San Diego FC) cautioned
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Alvarado Jr replaces J. Tverskov
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: C. Bakambu replaces M. Ingvartsen
  18. 44'
    Penalty missed by A. Dreyer for San Diego FC
  19. 43'
    Yellow Card
    J. Bazan (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  20. 31'
    Yellow Card
    J. Tverskov (San Diego FC) cautioned
  21. 27'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by R. Donkor
    0-3
  22. 20'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by D. Padelford, assisted by C. Cowell
    0-2
  23. 16'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Hall, assisted by J. Ruvalcaba
    0-1

San Diego FC vs. NY Red Bulls: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Diego FC vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego FC 37¢, NY Red Bulls +150, draw 24¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (72¢/29¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Diego FC: 37.9%
  • NY Red Bulls: 39.4%
  • Draw: 22.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Diego FC 1-1 NY Red Bulls (9.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win San Diego FC vs. NY Red Bulls? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.4%.

The most likely correct score is San Diego FC 1-1 NY Red Bulls.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on San Diego FC vs. NY Red Bulls, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.