Philadelphia vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Chicago MLS match on October 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Hoops season sale: $30 off Dimers Pro passes. Limited time only.
FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Philadelphia
3
1
Soldier Field
Chicago
Soldier Field
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
M. Haile-Selassie (44')
Soccer ball icon
J. Elliott (45')
Red Card icon
M. Iloski (49')
Soccer ball icon
B. Damiani (55')
Soccer ball icon
B. Damiani (67')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chicago
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Philadelphia
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Sery Larsen replaces Q. Sullivan
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Jakupovic replaces M. Iloski
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    N. Pierre (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  4. 88'
    Yellow Card
    P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  5. 85'
    Yellow Card
    I. Vassilev (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces B. Damiani
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: B. Bender replaces C. Sullivan
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: S. Oregel replaces A. Saletros
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Zinckernagel replaces R. Lewandowski
  10. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces J. Gomez
  11. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: L. Barroso replaces J. Dean
  12. 67'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by B. Damiani, assisted by J. Lukic
    3-1
  13. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: I. Vassilev replaces J. Bueno
  14. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by B. Damiani, assisted by C. Sullivan
    2-1
  15. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski, assisted by B. Damiani
    1-1
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: A. Hanche-Olsen replaces J. Bamba
  17. 45'
    Red Card
    J. Elliott (Chicago Fire) sent off for a second yellow card
  18. 44'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by M. Haile-Selassie, assisted by N. Allen
    0-1
  19. 41'
    Yellow Card
    J. Elliott (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  20. 34'
    Yellow Card
    M. Mbokazi (Chicago Fire) cautioned

Philadelphia vs. Chicago: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Chicago
  • Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia 38¢, Chicago 38¢, draw 25¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (69¢/32¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 38.0%
  • Chicago: 39.6%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Philadelphia 1-1 Chicago (9.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Philadelphia vs. Chicago? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.6%.

The most likely correct score is Philadelphia 1-1 Chicago.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Philadelphia vs. Chicago, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.