Sporting KC vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sporting KC vs. Nashville MLS match on October 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Sporting KC
0
4
Geodis Park
Nashville
Geodis Park
NashvilleNSH
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
H. Mukhtar (10')
Soccer ball icon
S. Surridge (17')
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A. Najar (29')
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W. Madrigal (pen.) (90')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nashville
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Sporting KC
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by W. Madrigal (pen.)
    0-4
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: A. Muyl replaces S. Surridge
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: E. Karic replaces J. Reid
  4. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: B. Acosta replaces M. Corcoran
  5. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: W. Madrigal replaces H. Mukhtar
  6. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Davis replaces I. James
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: D. Lovitz replaces A. Najar
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Nashville SC: S. Mohammed replaces C. Espinoza
  9. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Calheira replaces S. Reid
  10. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: C. Harris replaces Andre Luiz
  11. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Bartlett replaces Z. Bassong
  12. 29'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by A. Najar, assisted by C. Espinoza
    0-3
  13. 17'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by S. Surridge, assisted by H. Mukhtar
    0-2
  14. 10'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Nashville SC by H. Mukhtar, assisted by A. Najar
    0-1

Sporting KC vs. Nashville: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. Nashville
  • Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Geodis Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sporting KC 6¢, Nashville -425, draw 11¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (76¢/25¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 5.8%
  • Nashville: 83.6%
  • Draw: 10.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sporting KC 0-3 Nashville (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Sporting KC vs. Nashville? Prediction & correct score

Nashville is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 83.6%.

The most likely correct score is Sporting KC 0-3 Nashville.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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