NY Red Bulls vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY Red Bulls vs. D.C. United MLS match on October 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
NY Red Bulls
1
2
Audi Field
D.C. United
Audi Field
D.C. UnitedDC
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
T. Baribo (pen.) (5')
Soccer ball icon
S. Hefti (45')
Soccer ball icon
L. Bartlett (68')
Red Card icon
E. M. Choupo-Moting (71')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D.C. United
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • NY Red Bulls
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: S. Kone replaces R. Donkor
  2. 73'
    Yellow Card
    R. Donkor (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  3. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. M. Choupo-Moting, assisted by E. Forsberg
    1-2
  4. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: S. Nealis replaces B. Servania
  5. 68'
    Red Card
    L. Bartlett (DC United) sent off for a second yellow card
  6. 67'
    Yellow Card
    D. Nealis (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  7. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Marshall-Rutty replaces J. Che
  8. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces C. Cowell
  9. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. Forsberg replaces A. Mehmeti
  10. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: C. Harper replaces J. Ruvalcaba
  11. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: Peglow replaces J. Hopkins
  12. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Stroud replaces O. Avilez
  13. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by S. Hefti, assisted by T. Baribo
    0-2
  14. 29'
    Yellow Card
    J. Hopkins (DC United) cautioned
  15. 22'
    Yellow Card
    L. Bartlett (DC United) cautioned
  16. 19'
    Yellow Card
    D. Padelford (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  17. 5'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo (pen.)
    0-1

NY Red Bulls vs. D.C. United: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. D.C. United
  • Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Audi Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +260, D.C. United 39¢, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (65¢/36¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 35.9%
  • D.C. United: 40.7%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY Red Bulls 1-1 D.C. United (10.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win NY Red Bulls vs. D.C. United? Prediction & correct score

D.C. United is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.7%.

The most likely correct score is NY Red Bulls 1-1 D.C. United.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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