LA Galaxy vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the LA Galaxy vs. St Louis City MLS match on October 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Hoops season sale: $30 off Dimers Pro passes. Limited time only.
FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
LA Galaxy
2
6
CITYPARK
St Louis City
CITYPARK
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
LA GalaxyLAG
C. Holse (2')
Soccer ball icon
C. Holse (7')
Soccer ball icon
C. Holse (21')
Soccer ball icon
Rafael Navarro (pen.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
L. MacNaughton (45')
Soccer ball icon
Rafael Navarro (53')
Soccer ball icon
R. Taylor (32')
Soccer ball icon
Joao Klauss (71')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • St Louis City
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • LA Galaxy
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: D. Downs replaces A. Matan
  2. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Becher replaces Rafael Navarro
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Jeong replaces C. Holse
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Orozco replaces C. Wallem
  5. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: C. Garces replaces E. Thommy
  6. 75'
    Yellow Card
    H. Miller (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: F. Fall replaces C. Durkin
  8. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by Joao Klauss, assisted by M. Reus
    2-6
  9. 67'
    Yellow Card
    J. Aude (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  10. 63'
    Yellow Card
    C. Wallem (St. Louis City) cautioned
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Reus replaces P. Ruiz
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: J. Paintsil replaces R. Taylor
  13. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by Rafael Navarro, assisted by C. Durkin
    1-6
  14. 47'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: L. Sanabria replaces S. Roberto
  15. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by Rafael Navarro (pen.)
    1-4
  16. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by L. MacNaughton, assisted by A. Matan
    1-5
  17. 40'
    Yellow Card
    C. Durkin (St. Louis City) cautioned
  18. 32'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by R. Taylor, assisted by E. Thommy
    1-3
  19. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Holse, assisted by C. Durkin
    0-3
  20. 12'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: Joao Klauss replaces K. Furuhashi
  21. 7'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Holse, assisted by Rafael Navarro
    0-2
  22. 2'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by C. Holse, assisted by Rafael Navarro
    0-1

LA Galaxy vs. St Louis City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: LA Galaxy vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LA Galaxy 17¢, St Louis City 64¢, draw +400
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (70¢/31¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • LA Galaxy: 15.6%
  • St Louis City: 66.5%
  • Draw: 17.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: LA Galaxy 1-2 St Louis City (9.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win LA Galaxy vs. St Louis City? Prediction & correct score

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 66.5%.

The most likely correct score is LA Galaxy 1-2 St Louis City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on LA Galaxy vs. St Louis City, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.