Dallas vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Dallas vs. Houston MLS match on October 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Dallas
2
:
2
Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
DallasFCD
H. Herrera (49')
Soccer ball icon
M. Bogusz (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
C. Cappis (12')
Soccer ball icon
P. Musa (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
S. Sarver (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Dallas
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Lucas Halter (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by M. Bogusz (pen.)
    1-2
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Bogusz (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa (pen.)
    2-2
  5. 90'
    Red Card
    S. Sarver (FC Dallas) sent off with a straight red card
  6. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Sarver replaces B. Kamungo
  7. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces L. Ennali
  8. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces Guilherme
  9. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: R. Binyamin replaces H. Johansson
  10. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. McGuire replaces L. Foster
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu replaces D. Samassekou
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Moreno replaces D. Job
  13. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: J. Valiente replaces P. Delgado
  14. 60'
    Yellow Card
    D. Samassekou (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  15. 59'
    Yellow Card
    S. Ibeagha (FC Dallas) cautioned
  16. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by H. Herrera, assisted by Guilherme
    1-1
  17. 29'
    Penalty missed by P. Musa for FC Dallas
  18. 27'
    Yellow Card
    A. Resch (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  19. 27'
    Yellow Card
    F. Negri (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  20. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by C. Cappis, assisted by D. Job
    1-0

Dallas vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Dallas vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Dallas 28¢, Houston 46¢, draw 27¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (55¢/45¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Dallas: 28.8%
  • Houston: 45.8%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Dallas 1-1 Houston (12.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Dallas vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.8%.

The most likely correct score is Dallas 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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