Salt Lake vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Salt Lake vs. Sporting KC MLS match on October 17, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Salt Lake
3
1
Sporting KC
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
Salt LakeRSL
T. Calheira (26')
Soccer ball icon
M. Guilavogui (11')
Soccer ball icon
S. Solans (14')
Soccer ball icon
M. Guilavogui (61')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sporting KC
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Salt Lake
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Z. Booth (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    S. Spierings (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Miller (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: R. Ramos replaces C. Harris
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: S. Junqua replaces L. De Fougerolles
  6. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: A. Katranis replaces M. Guilavogui
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: A. Piol replaces S. Solans
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: A. Hezarkhani replaces S. Lobjanidze
  9. 76'
    Yellow Card
    J. Bartlett (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
  10. 74'
    Yellow Card
    C. Harris (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
  11. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: I. James replaces Z. Bassong
  12. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Reid replaces T. Calheira
  13. 72'
    Yellow Card
    J. Sanabria (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
  14. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: Z. Booth replaces D. Marczuk
  15. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: Capita replaces S. Afrifa
  16. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Davis replaces K. Agyabeng
  17. 61'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by M. Guilavogui
    3-1
  18. 45'
    Yellow Card
    L. De Fougerolles (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
  19. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by T. Calheira, assisted by Andre Luiz
    2-1
  20. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by S. Solans
    2-0
  21. 11'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by M. Guilavogui, assisted by N. Caliskan
    1-0

Salt Lake vs. Sporting KC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Salt Lake vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Salt Lake 44¢, Sporting KC 32¢, draw 25¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (65¢/36¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Salt Lake: 39.3%
  • Sporting KC: 38.0%
  • Draw: 22.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Salt Lake 1-1 Sporting KC (9.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Salt Lake vs. Sporting KC? Prediction & correct score

Salt Lake is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 39.3%.

The most likely correct score is Salt Lake 1-1 Sporting KC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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