San Jose vs. Salt Lake Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Jose vs. Salt Lake MLS match on October 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
San Jose
1
:
1
America First Field
Salt Lake
America First Field
Salt LakeRSL
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
L. De Fougerolles (79')
Soccer ball icon
J. Jasinski (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Salt Lake
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • San Jose
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Piol (Real Salt Lake) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Jasinski
    1-1
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: L. Jovanovic replaces M. Floriani
  4. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: D. Yedlin replaces L. De Fougerolles
  5. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Real Salt Lake by L. De Fougerolles, assisted by J. Sanabria
    0-1
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: A. Hezarkhani replaces S. Lobjanidze
  7. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: A. Piol replaces S. Solans
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: Vitor Costa replaces J. Ricketts
  9. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: T. Werner replaces N. Fernandez
  10. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Jasinski replaces B. Leroux
  11. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Real Salt Lake: Z. Booth replaces D. Marczuk
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: E. Lowen replaces P. Marie

San Jose vs. Salt Lake: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Salt Lake
  • Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: America First Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose 23¢, Salt Lake +100, draw 22¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (67¢/34¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Jose: 25.3%
  • Salt Lake: 53.0%
  • Draw: 21.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Jose 1-2 Salt Lake (9.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win San Jose vs. Salt Lake? Prediction & correct score

Salt Lake is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 53.0%.

The most likely correct score is San Jose 1-2 Salt Lake.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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