Houston vs. San Diego FC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. San Diego FC MLS match on October 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Houston
3
:
3
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FC
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FCSD
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
A. Dreyer (pen.) (20')
Soccer ball icon
C. Bakambu (22')
Soccer ball icon
Gabriel Pirani (86')
Soccer ball icon
Guilherme (24')
Soccer ball icon
M. Bogusz (33')
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Guilherme (38')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Diego FC
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Houston
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: M. Saracchi replaces L. Ennali
  2. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces M. Bogusz
  3. 86'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by Gabriel Pirani
    3-3
  4. 79'
    Yellow Card
    A. Godoy (San Diego FC) cautioned
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu replaces Guilherme
  6. 77'
    Yellow Card
    A. Dreyer (San Diego FC) cautioned
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Resch replaces A. Bouzat
  8. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Godoy replaces K. Sargeant
  9. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Pellegrino replaces E. Achouri
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: D. Nyangono replaces A. Alvarado Jr
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: Gabriel Pirani replaces O. Valakari
  12. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: M. Ingvartsen replaces C. Bakambu
  13. 53'
    Yellow Card
    K. Sargeant (San Diego FC) cautioned
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. McGuire replaces L. Foster
  15. 44'
    Yellow Card
    Guilherme (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  16. 38'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
    3-2
  17. 33'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by M. Bogusz, assisted by Guilherme
    2-2
  18. 24'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme, assisted by L. Ennali
    1-2
  19. 22'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by C. Bakambu, assisted by O. Valakari
    0-2
  20. 20'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Dreyer (pen.)
    0-1
  21. 19'
    Yellow Card
    J. Bond (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  22. 4'
    Yellow Card
    L. Ennali (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

Houston vs. San Diego FC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. San Diego FC
  • Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Snapdragon Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston 11¢, San Diego FC +120, draw 20¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (59¢/8¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Houston: 27.8%
  • San Diego FC: 47.6%
  • Draw: 24.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Houston 1-1 San Diego FC (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Houston vs. San Diego FC? Prediction & correct score

San Diego FC is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.6%.

The most likely correct score is Houston 1-1 San Diego FC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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