Nov 12, 2026
NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Paul Reed [11/12/2026]
Read Article Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 12, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Mavericks vs. Timberwolves predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are favored to beat the Dallas Mavericks at Target Center on Thursday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prediction gives Minnesota a 66.7% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Timberwolves to cover at -6.5, too.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves key predictions
- Predicted score: Timberwolves 115-110 Mavericks
- Timberwolves win probability: 66.7%
- Mavericks win probability: 33.3%
- Mavericks +6.5 spread: 50.4% cover probability
- Over 225.5 points: 50.9% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Mavericks moneyline: 33¢ (Novig)
- Timberwolves moneyline: 67¢ (Polymarket)
- Mavericks +6.5: 52¢ (Novig)
- Timberwolves -6.5: 48¢ (Polymarket)
- Over 225.5 points: 51¢ (Novig)
- Under 225.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves pick: Timberwolves -6.5 (48¢)
Our model makes the Timberwolves the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Timberwolves to cover the -6.5 spread at 48¢ on Polymarket, too.
Those odds give Timberwolves an implied cover probability of 48.1%, while our model puts it at 49.6%.
That's a 1.5% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Mavericks star Cooper Flagg leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 24.2 points, plus 6.3 rebounds and 5.9 assists. The Timberwolves have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Mavericks' two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Cooper Flagg (Mavericks): 24.2 points
- Kyrie Irving (Mavericks): 23.7
- LaMelo Ball (Timberwolves): 22.6
- Ayo Dosunmu (Timberwolves): 17.6
- Jaden McDaniels (Timberwolves): 17.0
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Mavericks vs. Timberwolves prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Mavericks vs. Timberwolves predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves game details
- Matchup: Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Date: Thursday, November 12, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Written by
Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
Advertiser disclosure
