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Read Article Thunder vs. Trail Blazers prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 11, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
Our Thunder vs. Trail Blazers predictions include win probabilities, the latest odds, and player projections.
The Portland Trail Blazers are favored to beat the Oklahoma City Thunder at Moda Center on Wednesday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.
Our Thunder vs. Trail Blazers prediction gives Portland a 59.0% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Trail Blazers to cover at -3.5, too.
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers key predictions
- Predicted score: Trail Blazers 113-110 Thunder
- Trail Blazers win probability: 59.0%
- Thunder win probability: 41.0%
- Trail Blazers -3.5 spread: 52.0% cover probability
- Under 224.5 points: 51.5% probability
Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.
We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers odds
Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.
- Thunder moneyline: 42¢ (Polymarket)
- Trail Blazers moneyline: -137 (BetRivers)
- Thunder +3.5: 53¢ (Novig)
- Trail Blazers -3.5: 48¢ (Polymarket)
- Over 224.5 points: 51¢ (Novig)
- Under 224.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers pick: Trail Blazers -3.5 (48¢)
Our model makes the Trail Blazers the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Trail Blazers to cover the -3.5 spread at 48¢ on Polymarket, too.
Those odds give Trail Blazers an implied cover probability of 48.1%, while our model puts it at 52.0%.
That's a 3.9% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers player projections
Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.
Thunder star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 29.6 points, plus 5.9 assists and 3.8 rebounds. The Trail Blazers have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Thunder's two.
Top 5 projected scorers
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): 29.6 points
- Deni Avdija (Trail Blazers): 23.1
- Damian Lillard (Trail Blazers): 18.4
- Jared McCain (Thunder): 16.8
- Jrue Holiday (Trail Blazers): 13.0
Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.
Get every Thunder vs. Trail Blazers prediction with Dimers Pro
Dimers Pro members get full access to our Thunder vs. Trail Blazers predictions, including:
- Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
- Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
- Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers game details
- Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers
- Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Moda Center
About this prediction
This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.
Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.
Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data publishes sports predictions and betting insights powered by Dimers' proprietary predictive models. The team develops and maintains the automated publishing systems used to deliver consistent, data-driven coverage across major sports.
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