Rockets vs. Hawks Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Rockets vs. Hawks prediction for Saturday, October 24, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, spread, and game total.
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NBA
Rockets
117
:
107
State Farm Arena
Hawks
State Farm Arena
TEAM1234T
Rockets
30 29 50 8 117
Hawks
26 22 45 14 107
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockets
    61%
  • Hawks
    39%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Rockets
30 29 50 8 117
Hawks
26 22 45 14 107
Q4 00:08 Tari Eason makes two point jump shot (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
Q4 00:25 Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:28 Jalen Johnson misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:44 Dyson Daniels makes two point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)
Q4 2:23 Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
Q4 3:06 Hawks makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:15 Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:21 Aaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:29 Jabari Smith Jr. blocks Aaron Wiggins's two point fadeaway jump shot
Play by Play
Q3 Q4
  1. Q4 00:08
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point jump shot (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
    117-107
  2. Q4 00:18
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    117-107
  3. Q4 00:18
    Hawks personal foul
  4. Q4 00:18
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun)
  5. Q4 00:25
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses three point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:28
    Jalen Johnson misses two point jump shot
  7. Q4 00:35
    Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)
  8. Q4 00:39
    Dyson Daniels personal foul (Jabari Smith Jr. draws the foul)
  9. Q4 00:58
    Jump ball. Kevin Durant vs. Jalen Johnson (Jabari Smith Jr. gains possession)
  10. Q4 1:13
    Kevin Durant personal foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
  11. Q4 1:13
    Hawks offensive rebound
  12. Q4 1:25
    Jump ball. Alperen Sengun vs. Aaron Wiggins (Tari Eason gains possession)
  13. Q4 1:44
    +2
    Dyson Daniels makes two point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)
    117-107
  14. Q4 2:23
    +2
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes two point jump shot
    117-107
  15. Q4 2:39
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point jump shot (Amen Thompson assists)
    117-107
  16. Q4 3:06
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    117-107
  17. Q4 3:15
    Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
  18. Q4 3:21
    Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
  19. Q4 3:21
    Aaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot
  20. Q4 3:29
    Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)
  21. Q4 3:29
    Jabari Smith Jr. blocks Aaron Wiggins's two point fadeaway jump shot
  22. Q4 3:29
    Jump ball. Jalen Johnson vs. Amen Thompson (CJ McCollum gains possession)
  23. Q4 3:50
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  24. Q4 4:01
    Hawks lineup change (CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jalen Johnson, Aaron Wiggins)
  25. Q4 4:21
    +3
    Dyson Daniels makes three point jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)
    117-107
  26. Q4 4:32
    Jalen Johnson misses two point jump shot
  27. Q4 5:01
    Kevin Durant shooting foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
  28. Q4 5:01
    +1
    Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    117-107
  29. Q4 5:10
    Bogdan Bogdanovic offensive foul (Off the ball) (Aaron Wiggins draws the foul)
  30. Q4 5:10
    Bogdan Bogdanovic turnover (offensive foul)
  31. Q4 5:10
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jalen Johnson)
  32. Q4 5:24
    +2
    Aaron Wiggins makes two point jump shot
    117-107
  33. Q4 5:28
    Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
  34. Q4 6:09
    +2
    CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot (Dyson Daniels assists)
    109-93
  35. Q4 6:16
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  36. Q4 6:30
    Alperen Sengun personal foul
  37. Q4 6:30
    CJ McCollum misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  38. Q4 6:30
    +1
    CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    109-93
  39. Q4 6:35
    Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul
  40. Q4 6:51
    Aaron Wiggins shooting foul (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  41. Q4 6:51
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    109-93
  42. Q4 7:00
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  43. Q4 7:15
    Tari Eason shooting foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
  44. Q4 7:23
    Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
  45. Q4 7:39
    Hawks misses two point tip layup
  46. Q4 7:43
    CJ McCollum misses two point jump shot
  47. Q4 7:58
    +3
    Reed Sheppard makes three point jump shot
    108-88
  48. Q4 8:11
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    117-107
  49. Q4 8:15
    Rockets turnover
  50. Q4 8:37
    Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
  51. Q4 8:37
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  52. Q4 8:49
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun)
  53. Q4 8:49
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point jump shot
    117-107
  54. Q4 8:51
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker turnover (lost ball) (Tari Eason steals)
  55. Q4 8:53
    Reed Sheppard turnover (Nickeil Alexander-Walker steals)
  56. Q4 8:56
    Kingston Flemings turnover (Reed Sheppard steals)
  57. Q4 9:27
    +3
    Reed Sheppard makes three point pullup jump shot
    109-93
  58. Q4 9:42
    Rockets defensive rebound
  59. Q4 9:52
    Kevin Durant misses three point jump shot
  60. Q4 9:52
    Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
  61. Q4 10:11
    Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
  62. Q4 10:17
    Aaron Wiggins offensive rebound
  63. Q4 10:17
    Kingston Flemings misses three point jump shot
  64. Q4 10:32
    +2
    Kevin Durant makes two point jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
    117-107
  65. Q4 10:43
    +2
    Luguentz Dort makes two point jump shot
    117-107
  66. Q4 11:02
    Reed Sheppard personal foul (Kingston Flemings draws the foul)
  67. Q4 11:35
    +3
    Aaron Wiggins makes three point pullup jump shot (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)
    109-93
  68. Q4 11:46
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    117-107
  69. Q3 00:00
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses two point jump shot
  70. Q3 00:00
    Hawks offensive rebound
  71. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun)
  72. Q4 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun)
  73. Q3 00:02
    Isaiah Crawford blocks Nickeil Alexander-Walker's three point jump shot
  74. Q3 00:25
    Jock Landale shooting foul (Tari Eason draws the foul)
  75. Q3 1:34
    Rockets offensive rebound
  76. Q3 1:41
    Rockets lineup change (Bogdan Bogdanovic, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Clint Capela)
  77. Q3 2:47
    Aaron Wiggins blocks Amen Thompson's two point jump shot
  78. Q3 2:47
    Jump ball. (Hawks gains possession)
  79. Q3 3:21
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  80. Q3 3:21
    Reed Sheppard misses three point jump shot
  81. Q3 3:56
    +3
    Bogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Reed Sheppard assists)
    117-107
  82. Q3 4:05
    Kingston Flemings misses two point jump shot
  83. Q3 4:19
    Tari Eason misses three point jump shot
  84. Q3 4:19
    Reed Sheppard offensive rebound
  85. Q3 4:33
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  86. Q3 5:07
    Alperen Sengun personal foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)
  87. Q3 5:18
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point jump shot
    117-107
  88. Q3 5:47
    Tari Eason misses two point jump shot
  89. Q3 6:00
    +2
    CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot (Aaron Wiggins assists)
    117-107
  90. Q3 6:14
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point jump shot
    71-58
  91. Q3 6:14
    +1
    Tari Eason makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    109-93
  92. Q3 7:06
    +2
    Dyson Daniels makes two point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)
    71-58
  93. Q3 7:18
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Johnson)
  94. Q3 7:46
    Jalen Johnson misses three point jump shot
  95. Q3 8:09
    +2
    Dyson Daniels makes two point jump shot (Jalen Johnson assists)
    71-56
  96. Q3 8:40
    +2
    CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)
    71-56
  97. Q3 9:13
    Jalen Johnson misses two point jump shot
  98. Q3 9:23
    Dyson Daniels shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  99. Q3 9:34
    Jalen Johnson turnover (double dribble)
  100. Q3 9:34
    Hawks violation
  101. Q3 9:39
    Jabari Smith Jr. personal foul (Dyson Daniels draws the foul)
  102. Q3 9:40
    Onyeka Okongwu misses three point jump shot
  103. Q3 9:53
    Amen Thompson misses two point running layup
  104. Q3 10:00
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  105. Q3 10:18
    Rockets turnover (shot clock violation)
  106. Q3 10:19
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point putback layup
  107. Q3 11:35
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  108. Q2 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  109. Q2 00:27
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    71-58
  110. Q2 00:47
    Onyeka Okongwu personal foul (Loose ball) (Alperen Sengun draws the foul)
  111. Q2 00:47
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    71-58
  112. Q2 00:49
    CJ McCollum misses two point pullup jump shot
  113. Q2 00:55
    Bogdan Bogdanovic kicked ball violation
  114. Q2 1:06
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    54-46
  115. Q2 1:06
    Jalen Johnson personal foul
  116. Q2 1:06
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    71-58
  117. Q2 1:28
    +2
    CJ McCollum makes two point jump shot
    71-58
  118. Q2 2:22
    CJ McCollum personal foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  119. Q2 2:22
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    71-58
  120. Q2 2:22
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    109-93
  121. Q2 2:36
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  122. Q2 2:50
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  123. Q2 3:30
    +2
    Tari Eason makes two point jump shot
    51-42
  124. Q2 3:40
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  125. Q2 3:44
    Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
  126. Q2 3:44
    CJ McCollum misses three point jump shot
  127. Q2 4:09
    +2
    Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
    49-42
  128. Q2 4:19
    Tari Eason technical foul
  129. Q2 4:19
    Hawks offensive rebound
  130. Q2 4:19
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  131. Q2 4:19
    Rockets lineup change (Bogdan Bogdanovic, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Alperen Sengun)
  132. Q2 4:21
    Rockets turnover
  133. Q2 4:34
    +2
    Jalen Johnson makes two point floating jump shot (Dyson Daniels assists)
    59-48
  134. Q2 4:34
    +2
    Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
    117-107
  135. Q2 4:37
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  136. Q2 4:37
    Dyson Daniels offensive rebound
  137. Q2 4:55
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  138. Q2 4:55
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  139. Q2 4:59
    Bogdan Bogdanovic defensive rebound
  140. Q2 4:59
    Hawks misses two point tip layup
  141. Q2 5:02
    Jalen Johnson misses two point jump shot
  142. Q2 5:02
    Hawks offensive rebound
  143. Q2 5:12
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  144. Q2 5:12
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  145. Q2 5:25
    Onyeka Okongwu misses three point jump shot
  146. Q2 5:25
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  147. Q2 5:42
    Dyson Daniels shooting foul (Amen Thompson draws the foul)
  148. Q2 5:42
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    117-107
  149. Q2 5:42
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jalen Johnson)
  150. Q2 5:42
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    117-107
  151. Q2 6:05
    Stoppage (Other)
  152. Q2 6:05
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  153. Q2 6:05
    Rockets lineup change (Bogdan Bogdanovic, Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Clint Capela)
  154. Q2 6:08
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  155. Q2 6:08
    Rockets defensive rebound
  156. Q2 6:29
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    117-107
  157. Q2 6:38
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  158. Q2 6:38
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  159. Q2 6:54
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    117-107
  160. Q2 6:58
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  161. Q2 6:58
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  162. Q2 7:09
    Hawks personal foul
  163. Q2 7:09
    Rockets technical foul
  164. Q2 7:09
    +1
    CJ McCollum makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    117-107
  165. Q2 7:17
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    117-107
  166. Q2 7:28
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    117-107
  167. Q2 7:28
    Hawks personal foul
  168. Q2 7:28
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    117-107
  169. Q2 7:40
    Jock Landale personal foul
  170. Q2 7:40
    Jabari Smith Jr. technical foul (Double)
  171. Q2 7:40
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela)
  172. Q2 7:40
    Jock Landale technical foul (Double)
  173. Q2 7:40
    Jock Landale turnover (offensive foul)
  174. Q2 7:40
    Hawks lineup change (Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels, Jalen Johnson, Aaron Wiggins)
  175. Q2 7:40
    Jock Landale turnover (offensive foul)
  176. Q2 7:47
    Bruce Thornton misses three point jump shot
  177. Q2 7:47
    Jock Landale defensive rebound
  178. Q2 7:50
    Jock Landale turnover (Bruce Thornton steals)
  179. Q2 7:52
    Rockets misses two point tip layup
  180. Q2 7:52
    Jock Landale defensive rebound
  181. Q2 7:55
    Jabari Smith Jr. misses two point jump shot
  182. Q2 7:55
    Rockets offensive rebound
  183. Q2 8:12
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    59-48
  184. Q2 8:19
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  185. Q2 8:19
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  186. Q2 8:34
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    59-48
  187. Q2 8:45
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    59-48
  188. Q2 9:00
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  189. Q2 9:00
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  190. Q2 9:12
    Luguentz Dort shooting foul (Kevin Durant draws the foul)
  191. Q2 9:12
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    90-79
  192. Q2 9:12
    Rockets lineup change (Bruce Thornton, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun)
  193. Q2 9:12
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jock Landale, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Kingston Flemings)
  194. Q2 9:12
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    90-79
  195. Q2 9:27
    +2
    Aaron Wiggins makes two point jump shot
    49-38
  196. Q2 9:33
    Rockets personal foul
  197. Q2 9:42
    Bruce Thornton personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)
  198. Q2 9:42
    Bruce Thornton turnover (offensive foul)
  199. Q2 10:00
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    90-79
  200. Q2 10:04
    Kevin Durant turnover (lost ball) (Luguentz Dort steals)
  201. Q2 10:09
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  202. Q2 10:09
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  203. Q2 10:11
    Rockets personal foul
  204. Q2 10:20
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  205. Q2 10:20
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  206. Q2 10:37
    Hawks personal foul
  207. Q2 10:37
    Jock Landale turnover (offensive foul)
  208. Q2 10:46
    Rockets personal foul
  209. Q2 10:48
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  210. Q2 10:48
    Hawks defensive rebound
  211. Q2 11:10
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  212. Q2 11:10
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  213. Q2 11:18
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  214. Q2 11:18
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  215. Q2 11:29
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  216. Q2 11:29
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  217. Q2 11:38
    +2
    Amen Thompson makes two point driving dunk (Alperen Sengun assists)
    32-26
  218. Q2 11:50
    Hawks personal foul
  219. Q2 11:50
    Kingston Flemings turnover (offensive foul)
  220. Q1 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  221. Q1 00:00
    Amen Thompson misses heave shot
  222. Q2 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Bruce Thornton, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun)
  223. Q2 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jock Landale, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Kingston Flemings)
  224. Q2 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Bruce Thornton, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun)
  225. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  226. Q1 00:02
    Tari Eason shooting foul (Jalen Johnson draws the foul)
  227. Q1 00:02
    Jalen Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  228. Q1 00:02
    Hawks offensive rebound
  229. Q1 00:02
    Hawks lineup change (Dyson Daniels, Jock Landale, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Johnson, Aaron Wiggins)
  230. Q1 00:02
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun)
  231. Q1 00:02
    +1
    Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    61-50
  232. Q1 00:26
    Hawks personal foul
  233. Q1 00:26
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    61-50
  234. Q1 00:26
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Isaiah Crawford, Amen Thompson, Jae'Sean Tate)
  235. Q1 00:26
    Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jock Landale, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Johnson, Aaron Wiggins)
  236. Q1 00:26
    +1
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    61-50
  237. Q1 00:27
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  238. Q1 00:27
    Rockets offensive rebound
  239. Q1 00:36
    Luguentz Dort misses three point jump shot
  240. Q1 00:36
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  241. Q1 00:48
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    25-25
  242. Q1 00:48
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    61-50
  243. Q1 00:48
    Hawks personal foul
  244. Q1 00:50
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  245. Q1 00:50
    Amen Thompson offensive rebound
  246. Q1 1:01
    Kingston Flemings personal foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)
  247. Q1 1:01
    Rockets lineup change (Bogdan Bogdanovic, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun)
  248. Q1 1:01
    Rockets violation
  249. Q1 1:19
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    59-48
  250. Q1 1:23
    Rockets turnover
  251. Q1 1:45
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    59-48
  252. Q1 2:06
    +3
    Bogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot
    25-20
  253. Q1 2:19
    Jock Landale turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  254. Q1 2:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  255. Q1 2:31
    Hawks defensive rebound
  256. Q1 2:31
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  257. Q1 2:40
    Rockets lineup change (Bogdan Bogdanovic, Jabari Smith Jr., Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Clint Capela)
  258. Q1 2:40
    Hawks lineup change (Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Jock Landale, Luguentz Dort, Aaron Wiggins, Kingston Flemings)
  259. Q1 2:40
    Stoppage (Other)
  260. Q1 2:54
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    59-48
  261. Q1 3:05
    Bogdan Bogdanovic misses two point jump shot
  262. Q1 3:05
    Jock Landale defensive rebound
  263. Q1 3:21
    Hawks turnover
  264. Q1 3:25
    Jalen Johnson offensive rebound
  265. Q1 3:25
    Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
  266. Q1 3:37
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    59-48
  267. Q1 3:45
    Hawks violation
  268. Q1 4:09
    +2
    Jalen Johnson makes two point jump shot
    30-26
  269. Q1 4:26
    Hawks 60 second timeout
  270. Q1 4:26
    Hawks lineup change (Jock Landale, Luguentz Dort, Jalen Johnson, Aaron Wiggins, Kingston Flemings)
  271. Q1 4:26
    Rockets lineup change (Bogdan Bogdanovic, Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant, Clint Capela)
  272. Q1 5:07
    Rockets lineup change (Bogdan Bogdanovic, Reed Sheppard, Tari Eason, Kevin Durant, Alperen Sengun)
  273. Q1 8:32
    Instant replay
Box Score
Rockets
PosPlayerPts
Hawks
PosPlayerPts

Rockets vs. Hawks prediction & analysis

Game overview: NBA Saturday

  • Teams: Houston Rockets vs. Atlanta Hawks
  • Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
  • Tip-off: 8:30PM ET
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Rockets (+1.5, -111), Hawks (-1.5, +108)
  • Moneyline: Rockets +100, Hawks -104
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5 points (+102/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Rockets: 41.2%
  • Hawks: 58.8%

Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Rockets 112 and Hawks 115.

This is a margin of 3 points against a spread of 1.5, and a projected total of 227 points against a market line of 227.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 41.2%, while the Hawks have a win probability of 58.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Hawks are more likely to beat the Rockets in the NBA game at State Farm Arena on Saturday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

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