Warriors vs. Suns Prediction, Picks & Odds
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 25 | 19 | 17 | 0 | 61 |
Suns | 22 | 19 | 29 | 0 | 70 |
- Warriors
- Suns
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Warriors | 25 | 19 | 17 | 0 | 61 |
Suns | 22 | 19 | 29 | 0 | 70 |
- +2Jalen Green makes two point jump shot (Devin Booker assists)61-70
- Warriors personal foul
- Graham Ike misses two point jump shot
- Devin Booker defensive rebound
- +2Devin Booker makes two point jump shot61-70
- Georges Niang misses two point jump shot
- Warriors lineup change (Graham Ike, Georges Niang, Yaxel Lendeborg, Brandon Williams, Will Richard)
- Jalen Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Brandon Williams misses two point driving floating jump shot
- Gui Santos shooting foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)
- Devin Booker personal foul
- +1Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 261-70
- +2Jalen Green makes two point jump shot (Devin Booker assists)61-70
- Dillon Brooks personal foul
- +1Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 361-70
- Will Richard shooting foul (Devin Booker draws the foul)
- Suns turnover
- Will Richard personal foul (Khaman Maluach draws the foul)
- +3Warriors makes three point jump shot61-70
- Warriors lineup change (Graham Ike, Yaxel Lendeborg, Brandon Williams, Gui Santos, Will Richard)
- Suns misses two point jump shot
- Devin Booker misses two point jump shot
- Suns personal foul
- +2Devin Booker makes two point jump shot (Dillon Brooks assists)44-41
- Charles Bassey turnover (offensive foul)
- De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
- LJ Cryer misses two point jump shot
- LJ Cryer personal foul
- Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
- +2Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot44-41
- +2Dillon Brooks makes two point jump shot (Collin Gillespie assists)44-41
- Warriors lineup change (Yaxel Lendeborg, Gary Payton II, De'Anthony Melton, LJ Cryer, Charles Bassey)
- +2Devin Booker makes two point jump shot44-41
- Yaxel Lendeborg shooting foul (Devin Booker draws the foul)
- +3LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot (Gui Santos assists)44-41
- +3Suns makes three point jump shot44-41
- De'Anthony Melton personal foul
- +3Jalen Green makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)44-41
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Gary Payton II offensive rebound
- Graham Ike shooting foul (Devin Booker draws the foul)
- +1Devin Booker makes regular free throw 1 of 244-41
- Dillon Brooks turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
- Yaxel Lendeborg misses three point stepback jump shot
- Dillon Brooks misses two point pullup jump shot
- LJ Cryer turnover (offensive foul)
- Graham Ike turnover (offensive foul)
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Warriors vs. Suns prediction & analysis
Game overview: NBA Saturday
- Teams: Golden State Warriors vs. Phoenix Suns
- Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
- Tip-off: 10:00PM ET
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Current betting odds
- Spread: Warriors (+9.5, +106), Suns (-9.5, -108)
- Moneyline: Warriors +344, Suns -355
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points (-104/+102)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Warriors: 24.1%
- Suns: 75.9%
Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.
The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.
Projected Final Score
Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Warriors 107 and Suns 115.
This is a margin of 8 points against a spread of 9.5, and a projected total of 222 points against a market line of 221.5.
A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.
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Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 24.1%, while the Suns have a win probability of 75.9%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Suns are more likely to beat the Warriors in the NBA game at Mortgage Matchup Center on Saturday.
That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.
Responsible gambling
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