Coco Gauff vs. Elena Rybakina prediction, odds, picks for US Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's Gauff-Rybakina women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model can't split the two players, giving both Gauff and Rybakina a 50% chance of winning the match. Additionally, both Gauff and Rybakina have an equal 50-50 chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Gauff (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Elena Rybakina -118, Coco Gauff +100
• First Set: Gauff +100, Rybakina -125

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Gauff @ +100 via DraftKings
• First Set: Rybakina @ -139 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Coco Gauff to win.

Although Gauff is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The US Open 2026 match between Coco Gauff and Elena Rybakina is scheduled to start on Thursday at 8:10 PM ET.

• Who: Coco Gauff vs. Elena Rybakina
• Date: Thursday, September 10, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:10 PM ET/5:10PM PT
• Tournament: US Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Semifinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict a close match between Gauff and Rybakina on Thursday, with each player having a 50% chance of winning.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.