Eagles vs. Bears prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win ‘MNF’ Week 3 [2026]

Since our Eagles-Bears predictions earlier in the week, we have re-simulated the result of Monday's NFL game between the Eagles and Bears, forming part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Eagles a 62.8% chance of defeating the Bears in Week 3 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Eagles winning 22-18.

Key factors favoring the Eagles:

• Chicago Bears QB Change / Form
• Philadelphia Eagles QB Match-up Differential
• Philadelphia Eagles Defensive Efficiency

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Eagles and Bears each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41.5 points has a 51.7% chance of staying under.

The main contributing factors to the under being more likely are:

• QB Ratings
• Weather / Conditions

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 3 straight up picks.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Eagles -3.5 (-104) / Bears +3.5 (+102)
• Moneyline: Eagles -186, Bears +190
• Total: Over/Under 41.5 (-103/+106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Bears +3.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Bears @ 34¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 41.5 @ 49¢ via Novig

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 41.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Eagles vs. Bears TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Eagles vs. Bears?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, D'Andre Swift is most likely to score an anytime TD in Eagles vs. Bears.

Our projections give Swift a 47.1% chance of getting in for six at Soldier Field, while the running back is a 12.8% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Philadelphia Eagles

• Saquon Barkley (RB): 46.1% probability
• Jalen Hurts (QB): 34.2%
• DeVonta Smith (WR): 32.6%
• Dontayvion Wicks (WR): 22.5%
• Makai Lemon (WR): 16.1%

Chicago Bears

• D'Andre Swift (RB): 47.1% prob.
• Kyle Monangai (RB): 27.1%
• Colston Loveland (TE): 22.7%
• Rome Odunze (WR): 16.7%
• Luther Burden (WR): 16.4%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Philadelphia Eagles

• Saquon Barkley (RB): 11.7% prob.
• Jalen Hurts (QB): 7.9%
• DeVonta Smith (WR): 7.4%
• Dontayvion Wicks (WR): 4.8%
• Makai Lemon (WR): 3.3%

Chicago Bears

• D'Andre Swift (RB): 12.8% prob.
• Kyle Monangai (RB): 6.4%
• Colston Loveland (TE): 5.2%
• Rome Odunze (WR): 3.7%
• Luther Burden (WR): 3.6%

Top player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Eagles and Bears. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 3 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Eagles' Jalen Hurts is projected for 215 passing yards. The Bears' Case Keenum is expected to throw for just 176 yards.

Eagles rushing

• Saquon Barkley: 72 yds
• Jalen Hurts: 29 yds
• Tank Bigsby: 16 yds

Bears rushing

• D'Andre Swift: 68 yds
• Kyle Monangai: 45 yds
• Case Keenum: 10 yds

Eagles receiving

• DeVonta Smith: 75 yds
• Dontayvion Wicks: 47 yds
• Makai Lemon: 33 yds
• Saquon Barkley: 17 yds
• Zach Ertz: 16 yds

Bears receiving

• Luther Burden: 41 yds
• Colston Loveland: 37 yds
• Rome Odunze: 32 yds
• Kalif Raymond: 29 yds
• D'Andre Swift: 16 yds

Game info & kickoff details

The NFL Week 3 game between the Bears and Eagles at Soldier Field is scheduled to commence at 8:15 PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Chicago Bears
• Date: Monday, September 28, 2026
• Time: 8:15 PM ET/5:15PM PT
• Venue: Soldier Field

NFL Week 3 promo

Using our full NFL Week 3 promo code guide, you can make the most of Dimers' Eagles vs. Bears predictions with the below DraftKings Sportsbook offer:

Conclusion

We predict the Eagles, with a 62.8% win probability, will likely beat the Bears in Week 3 of the NFL season.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.