Ducks vs. Jets prediction: Why Winnipeg is favored to win Friday's NHL matchup [10/9/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Dimers' simulation model projects a 53.8% win probability for the Jets at Canada Life Centre.

The Anaheim Ducks take on the Winnipeg Jets in NHL action.
Anaheim Ducks vs. Winnipeg Jets NHL prediction for Friday, October 9, 2026.

The Winnipeg Jets will square off with the Anaheim Ducks, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Canada Life Centre on Friday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Jets a slight edge with a 53.8% win probability over the Ducks.

This article offers a complete Ducks vs. Jets prediction, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Ducks vs. Jets prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's NHL matchup between the Ducks and Jets, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Jets a 53.8% chance of defeating the Ducks. According to our model, the Ducks (+1.5) have a 68.2% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54.0% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Puck Line: Ducks +1.5 (-233) / Jets -1.5 (+210)
  • Moneyline: Ducks +105, Jets -120
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Puck line: Jets -1.5 @ +210 via BetRivers
  • Moneyline: Jets @ -120 via BetRivers
  • Total: Under 6.5 @ -115 via FanDuel

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Ducks vs. Jets player props

Who will score a goal in Ducks vs. Jets?

According to our model, Kyle Connor is most likely to score an anytime goal in Ducks vs. Jets.

Our projections give Connor a 45.5% chance of scoring a goal at Canada Life Centre, while the star is a 10.1% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Anaheim Ducks

  • Tristan Luneau: 45.4% probability
  • Cutter Gauthier: 38.2% probability
  • Leo Carlsson: 27.6% probability
  • Beckett Sennecke: 26.6% probability
  • Mikael Granlund: 23.0% probability

Winnipeg Jets

  • Kyle Connor: 45.5% probability
  • Mark Scheifele: 39.3% probability
  • Gabriel Vilardi: 31.4% probability
  • Cole Perfetti: 26.6% probability
  • Morgan Barron: 18.7% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Anaheim Ducks

  • Tristan Luneau: 9.2% probability
  • Cutter Gauthier: 7.1% probability
  • Beckett Sennecke: 5.0% probability
  • Leo Carlsson: 4.9% probability
  • Mikael Granlund: 4.5% probability

Winnipeg Jets

  • Kyle Connor: 10.1% probability
  • Mark Scheifele: 8.2% probability
  • Gabriel Vilardi: 5.7% probability
  • Cole Perfetti: 5.2% probability
  • Morgan Barron: 3.3% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Friday's matchup between the Jets and Ducks at Canada Life Centre is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Jets, with a 53.8% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks in Friday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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