Blackhawks vs. Islanders prediction favors Islanders to win Thursday's NHL matchup [10/8/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 61.3% win probability for the Islanders at UBS Arena.

NHL action continues on Thursday at 7:30 PM ET as the Chicago Blackhawks take on the NY Islanders at UBS Arena.
Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Islanders as the most likely winner in this Blackhawks vs. Islanders prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Isles prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Islanders a 61.3% chance of defeating the Blackhawks. According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 61.5% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 51.8% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Puck Line: Blackhawks +1.5 (-160) / Islanders -1.5 (+140)
- Moneyline: Blackhawks +160, Islanders -182
- Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-120/+105)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Puck line: Blackhawks +1.5 @ -160 via BetMGM
- Moneyline: Blackhawks @ +160 via BetRivers
- Total: Under 5.5 @ +105 via DraftKings
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Blackhawks to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Blackhawks vs. Islanders player props
Who will score a goal in Blackhawks vs. Islanders?
According to our model, Bo Horvat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blackhawks vs. Islanders.
Our projections give Horvat a 36.2% chance of scoring a goal at UBS Arena, while the star is a 7.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Chicago Blackhawks
- Roman Kantserov: 32.4% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 31.2% probability
- Patrick Kane: 25.9% probability
- Frank Nazar: 18.7% probability
- Anton Frondell: 17.8% probability
NY Islanders
- Bo Horvat: 36.2% probability
- Simon Holmstrom: 25.7% probability
- Matthew Schaefer: 24.7% probability
- Kyle Palmieri: 22.8% probability
- Emil Heineman: 22.1% probability
First goal scorer predictions
Chicago Blackhawks
- Roman Kantserov: 6.9% probability
- Tyler Bertuzzi: 6.5% probability
- Patrick Kane: 5.1% probability
- Anton Frondell: 3.6% probability
- Frank Nazar: 3.4% probability
NY Islanders
- Bo Horvat: 7.0% probability
- Simon Holmstrom: 5.8% probability
- Matthew Schaefer: 4.6% probability
- Victor Eklund: 4.2% probability
- Kyle Palmieri: 4.1% probability
Game info & puck drop details
Thursday's action between the Islanders and Blackhawks at UBS Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Blackhawks vs. NY Islanders
- Date: Thursday, October 8, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: UBS Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Islanders, with a 61.3% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks in Thursday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



