Flames vs. Golden Knights prediction favors Vegas to win Thursday's NHL matchup [10/15/2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL game between the Flames and Golden Knights, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Golden Knights a 68.3% chance of defeating the Flames. According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 54.8% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 56.1% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Flames +1.5 (-102) / Golden Knights -1.5 (+104)
• Moneyline: Flames +257, Golden Knights -264
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+113/-117)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Flames +1.5 @ -102 via BetMGM
• Moneyline: Flames @ 28¢ via Novig
• Total: Under 6.5 @ 54¢ via Novig

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flames +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Flames vs. Golden Knights player props

Who will score a goal in Flames vs. Golden Knights?

According to our model, Mark Stone is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Golden Knights.

Our projections give Stone a 36.5% chance of scoring a goal at T-Mobile Arena, while the star is a 7.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

• Aydar Suniev: 26.0% probability
• Morgan Frost: 22.1% probability
• Matthew Coronato: 20.8% probability
• Yegor Sharangovich: 19.7% probability
• Mikael Backlund: 19.2% probability

Vegas Golden Knights

• Mark Stone: 36.5% probability
• Jack Eichel: 34.0% probability
• Trevor Connelly: 31.3% probability
• Tomas Hertl: 29.5% probability
• Mitch Marner: 27.2% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

• Aydar Suniev: 5.3% probability
• Morgan Frost: 4.5% probability
• Yegor Sharangovich: 3.9% probability
• Matthew Coronato: 3.7% probability
• Mikael Backlund: 3.4% probability

Vegas Golden Knights

• Mark Stone: 7.9% probability
• Jack Eichel: 7.2% probability
• Trevor Connelly: 6.6% probability
• Tomas Hertl: 5.9% probability
• Mitch Marner: 5.5% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Thursday's matchup between the Golden Knights and Flames at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Calgary Flames vs. Vegas Golden Knights
• Date: Thursday, October 15, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: T-Mobile Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Golden Knights, with a 68.3% win probability, will likely beat the Flames in Thursday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.