Islanders vs. Senators prediction favors Ottawa to win Thursday's NHL matchup [10/15/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Islanders and Senators, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Senators a 59.7% chance of beating the Islanders. According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 63.6% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 50.9% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Islanders +1.5 (-178) / Senators -1.5 (+174)
• Moneyline: Islanders +150, Senators -153
• Total: Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Senators -1.5 @ 36¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Islanders @ 40¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 5.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Islanders vs. Senators player props

Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Senators?

According to our model, Tim Stutzle is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Senators.

Our projections give Stutzle a 38.9% chance of scoring a goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the star is a 7.8% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

• Bo Horvat: 30.9% probability
• Matthew Schaefer: 21.4% probability
• Emil Heineman: 20.3% probability
• Kyle Palmieri: 18.8% probability
• Brayden Schenn: 18.4% probability

Ottawa Senators

• Tim Stutzle: 38.9% probability
• Drake Batherson: 33.5% probability
• Shane Pinto: 29.0% probability
• Dylan Cozens: 26.0% probability
• Stephen Halliday: 18.1% probability

First goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

• Bo Horvat: 6.5% probability
• Matthew Schaefer: 4.1% probability
• Emil Heineman: 3.9% probability
• Kyle Palmieri: 3.3% probability
• Calum Ritchie: 3.0% probability

Ottawa Senators

• Tim Stutzle: 7.8% probability
• Drake Batherson: 7.0% probability
• Shane Pinto: 6.1% probability
• Dylan Cozens: 5.0% probability
• Claude Giroux: 3.3% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Thursday's game between the Senators and Islanders at Canadian Tire Centre is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: NY Islanders vs. Ottawa Senators
• Date: Thursday, October 15, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

Conclusion

We predict the Senators, with a 59.7% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders in Thursday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.