Jets vs. Blackhawks prediction: Why Winnipeg is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [10/15/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Dimers' simulation model projects a 54.4% win probability for the Jets at United Center.

The Winnipeg Jets take on the Chicago Blackhawks in NHL action.
Winnipeg Jets vs. Chicago Blackhawks NHL prediction for Thursday, October 15, 2026.

The Chicago Blackhawks will face the Winnipeg Jets, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at United Center on Thursday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Jets a slight edge with a 54.4% win probability over the Blackhawks.

This article offers a complete Jets vs. Blackhawks prediction, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Jets vs. Hawks prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Jets and Blackhawks, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Jets a 54.4% chance of defeating the Blackhawks. According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 67.4% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 57.7% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Puck Line: Jets -1.5 (+208) / Blackhawks +1.5 (-212)
  • Moneyline: Jets -117, Blackhawks +115
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+120/-125)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Puck line: Jets -1.5 @ 33¢ via Novig
  • Moneyline: Jets @ 54¢ via Novig
  • Total: Under 6.5 @ 56¢ via Novig

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Jets vs. Blackhawks player props

Who will score a goal in Jets vs. Blackhawks?

According to our model, Kyle Connor is most likely to score an anytime goal in Jets vs. Blackhawks.

Our projections give Connor a 43.5% chance of scoring a goal at United Center, while the star is a 9.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Winnipeg Jets

  • Kyle Connor: 43.5% probability
  • Mark Scheifele: 37.3% probability
  • Gabriel Vilardi: 29.7% probability
  • Cole Perfetti: 29.6% probability
  • Morgan Barron: 17.4% probability

Chicago Blackhawks

  • Roman Kantserov: 34.8% probability
  • Connor Bedard: 30.8% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 30.5% probability
  • Patrick Kane: 23.6% probability
  • Frank Nazar: 20.3% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Winnipeg Jets

  • Kyle Connor: 9.3% probability
  • Mark Scheifele: 8.1% probability
  • Gabriel Vilardi: 6.1% probability
  • Cole Perfetti: 5.8% probability
  • Morgan Barron: 3.1% probability

Chicago Blackhawks

  • Roman Kantserov: 7.2% probability
  • Connor Bedard: 6.8% probability
  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 6.2% probability
  • Patrick Kane: 4.7% probability
  • Anton Frondell: 3.6% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Thursday's matchup between the Blackhawks and Jets at United Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Jets, with a 54.4% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks in Thursday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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