Avalanche vs. Jets prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [10/7/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Dimers' simulation model projects a 61.8% win probability for the Avalanche at Canada Life Centre.

The Colorado Avalanche take on the Winnipeg Jets in NHL action.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Winnipeg Jets NHL prediction for Wednesday, October 7, 2026.

The Winnipeg Jets will face the Colorado Avalanche in NHL action at Canada Life Centre on Wednesday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Avalanche as the most likely winner in this Avalanche vs. Jets prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Avs vs. Jets prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL game between the Avalanche and Jets, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 61.8% chance of defeating the Jets. According to our model, the Jets (+1.5) have a 60.5% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 55.0% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Puck Line: Avalanche -1.5 (+130) / Jets +1.5 (-148)
  • Moneyline: Avalanche -189, Jets +170
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Puck line: Jets +1.5 @ -148 via BetRivers
  • Moneyline: Jets @ +170 via BetRivers
  • Total: Under 6.5 @ -106 via BetRivers

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Avalanche vs. Jets player props

Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Jets?

According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Jets.

Our projections give MacKinnon a 38.0% chance of scoring a goal at Canada Life Centre, while the star is a 7.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

  • Nathan MacKinnon: 38.0% probability
  • Martin Necas: 34.2% probability
  • Brock Nelson: 30.6% probability
  • Artturi Lehkonen: 30.1% probability
  • Gabriel Landeskog: 21.2% probability

Winnipeg Jets

  • Kyle Connor: 37.0% probability
  • Mark Scheifele: 32.1% probability
  • Gabriel Vilardi: 27.4% probability
  • Cole Perfetti: 20.3% probability
  • Morgan Barron: 15.9% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

  • Nathan MacKinnon: 7.5% probability
  • Martin Necas: 7.4% probability
  • Artturi Lehkonen: 5.8% probability
  • Brock Nelson: 5.7% probability
  • Gabriel Landeskog: 4.3% probability

Winnipeg Jets

  • Kyle Connor: 8.1% probability
  • Mark Scheifele: 6.7% probability
  • Gabriel Vilardi: 5.2% probability
  • Cole Perfetti: 3.9% probability
  • Morgan Barron: 3.3% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Wednesday's game between the Jets and Avalanche at Canada Life Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 61.8% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Wednesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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