Islanders vs. Rangers prediction favors Rangers to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/6/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL game between the Islanders and Rangers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Rangers a 58.0% chance of beating the Islanders. According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 65.0% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 52.1% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Islanders +1.5 (-189) / Rangers -1.5 (+164)
• Moneyline: Islanders +145, Rangers -157
• Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-120/+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Islanders +1.5 @ -189 via ESPN BET
• Moneyline: Islanders @ +145 via ESPN BET
• Total: Under 5.5 @ +102 via bet365

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Islanders to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Islanders vs. Rangers player props

Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Rangers?

According to our model, Pavel Dorofeyev is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Rangers.

Our projections give Dorofeyev a 34.9% chance of scoring a goal at Madison Square Garden, while the star is a 7.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

• Bo Horvat: 30.9% probability
• Victor Eklund: 24.0% probability
• Matthew Schaefer: 20.7% probability
• Simon Holmstrom: 20.5% probability
• Kyle Palmieri: 19.2% probability

NY Rangers

• Pavel Dorofeyev: 34.9% probability
• Mika Zibanejad: 33.6% probability
• Alexis Lafreniere: 28.0% probability
• J.T. Miller: 23.0% probability
• Gabe Perreault: 21.9% probability

First goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

• Bo Horvat: 6.0% probability
• Victor Eklund: 4.4% probability
• Simon Holmstrom: 4.1% probability
• Emil Heineman: 3.9% probability
• Matthew Schaefer: 3.7% probability

NY Rangers

• Mika Zibanejad: 7.1% probability
• Pavel Dorofeyev: 7.0% probability
• Alexis Lafreniere: 5.6% probability
• Gabe Perreault: 4.8% probability
• J.T. Miller: 4.2% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Tuesday's game between the Rangers and Islanders at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: NY Islanders vs. NY Rangers
• Date: Tuesday, October 6, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Madison Square Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Rangers, with a 58.0% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.