NHL player props today: Tuesday's best props include Luke Evangelista [10/6/2026]

Luke Evangelista over 1.5 shots on goal (-175)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 72.5%
• Game: Mammoth vs. Devils (7:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Devils' Luke Evangelista going over 1.5 shots on goal. A probability of 72.5% gives this play an edge of 8.8% at -175 odds.

Anton Frondell over 1.5 shots on goal (-185)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 69.5%
• Game: Blues vs. Blackhawks (8:00PM ET)

Anton Frondell’s shots on goal prop shows a 69.5% probability and an 4.6% edge at -185 odds, according to our model.

Josh Doan over 1.5 shots on goal (-160)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 67.8%
• Game: Wild vs. Sabres (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Josh Doan over 1.5 shots on goal, with simulations showing a 67.8% probability and a 6.2% edge at -160.

Axel Sandin-Pellikka under 1.5 shots on goal (-140)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 65.6%
• Game: Senators vs. Red Wings (7:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Axel Sandin-Pellikka under 1.5 shots on goal, with a 65.6% probability and an edge of 7.3% at -140 odds.

William Karlsson over 1.5 shots on goal (-155)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 65.5%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Kraken (9:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on William Karlsson over 1.5 shots on goal for Golden Knights, showing an edge of 4.7% at -155 odds.

Jonathan Marchessault over 1.5 shots on goal (-165)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 65.3%
• Game: Predators vs. Maple Leafs (7:00PM ET)

Jonathan Marchessault’s shots on goal prop shows an edge of 3.0% at -165 odds, supported by a 65.3% probability according to our model.

Nick Lardis under 1.5 shots on goal (-145)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 64.0%
• Game: Blues vs. Blackhawks (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Nick Lardis under 1.5 shots on goal for Blackhawks, with a 64.0% probability and a 4.8% edge at -145 odds.

Jared McCann over 1.5 shots on goal (-145)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 63.3%
• Game: Golden Knights vs. Kraken (9:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Jared McCann over 1.5 shots on goal, supported by a 63.3% probability at -145 odds and an edge of 4.1%.

Ryan Hartman over 1.5 shots on goal (-130)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 62.5%
• Game: Wild vs. Sabres (7:00PM ET)

A 6.0% edge on the over 1.5 shots on goal line makes Ryan Hartman a value play in Wild vs. Sabres, supported by a 62.5% probability at -130 odds.

Ross Colton over 1.5 shots on goal (-140)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Game: Predators vs. Maple Leafs (7:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Ross Colton over 1.5 shots on goal here, with a 62.2% probability and 3.9% edge at -140 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Tuesday, October 6, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:41PM ET:

Conclusion

For October 6, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Luke Evangelista, Anton Frondell and Josh Doan. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.