Golden Knights vs. Kraken prediction favors Vegas to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/6/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Golden Knights and Kraken, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Golden Knights a 58.3% chance of defeating the Kraken. According to our model, the Kraken (+1.5) have a 63.6% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 55.3% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Golden Knights -1.5 (+150) / Kraken +1.5 (-164)
• Moneyline: Golden Knights -165, Kraken +150
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-127)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Kraken +1.5 @ -164 via ESPN BET
• Moneyline: Kraken @ +150 via ESPN BET
• Total: Under 6.5 @ -127 via BetRivers

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Kraken to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Golden Knights vs. Kraken player props

Who will score a goal in Golden Knights vs. Kraken?

According to our model, Mark Stone is most likely to score an anytime goal in Golden Knights vs. Kraken.

Our projections give Stone a 33.8% chance of scoring a goal at Climate Pledge Arena, while the star is a 6.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

• Mark Stone: 33.8% probability
• Jack Eichel: 27.8% probability
• Mitch Marner: 27.7% probability
• Trevor Connelly: 25.8% probability
• Tomas Hertl: 25.4% probability

Seattle Kraken

• Bobby McMann: 33.3% probability
• Jared McCann: 26.2% probability
• Jordan Eberle: 23.9% probability
• Shane Wright: 17.8% probability
• Matty Beniers: 17.3% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Vegas Golden Knights

• Mark Stone: 6.9% probability
• Jack Eichel: 6.1% probability
• Mitch Marner: 5.7% probability
• Tomas Hertl: 4.4% probability
• Trevor Connelly: 4.4% probability

Seattle Kraken

• Bobby McMann: 6.7% probability
• Jared McCann: 5.0% probability
• Jordan Eberle: 4.3% probability
• Shane Wright: 3.2% probability
• Matty Beniers: 3.0% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Tuesday's action between the Kraken and Golden Knights at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to start at 9:40 PM ET.

• Who: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Seattle Kraken
• Date: Tuesday, October 6, 2026
• Time: 9:40 PM ET/6:40PM PT
• Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Golden Knights, with a 58.3% win probability, will likely beat the Kraken in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.