Senators vs. Red Wings prediction favors Ottawa to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/6/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Senators and Red Wings, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Senators a 51.1% chance of beating the Red Wings. According to our model, the Senators (+1.5) have a 71.7% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 51.4% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Senators +1.5 (-235) / Red Wings -1.5 (+220)
• Moneyline: Senators +105, Red Wings -115
• Total: Over/Under 6 (-109/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Senators +1.5 @ -235 via BetMGM
• Moneyline: Senators @ +105 via ESPN BET
• Total: Under 6 @ -105 via Caesars

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Senators to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Senators vs. Red Wings player props

Who will score a goal in Senators vs. Red Wings?

According to our model, Alex DeBrincat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Senators vs. Red Wings.

Our projections give DeBrincat a 41.8% chance of scoring a goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the star is a 9.1% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

• Tim Stutzle: 37.1% probability
• Drake Batherson: 33.5% probability
• Shane Pinto: 27.1% probability
• Dylan Cozens: 24.7% probability
• Michael Amadio: 21.4% probability

Detroit Red Wings

• Alex DeBrincat: 41.8% probability
• Viktor Arvidsson: 36.4% probability
• Dylan Larkin: 33.0% probability
• Lucas Raymond: 31.8% probability
• Emmitt Finnie: 16.3% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Ottawa Senators

• Tim Stutzle: 7.7% probability
• Drake Batherson: 6.8% probability
• Shane Pinto: 5.0% probability
• Dylan Cozens: 4.8% probability
• Michael Amadio: 4.1% probability

Detroit Red Wings

• Alex DeBrincat: 9.1% probability
• Dylan Larkin: 6.7% probability
• Viktor Arvidsson: 6.4% probability
• Lucas Raymond: 6.4% probability
• Emmitt Finnie: 3.3% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Tuesday's game between the Red Wings and Senators at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings
• Date: Tuesday, October 6, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Senators, with a 51.1% win probability, will likely beat the Red Wings in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.