Panthers vs. Sharks prediction favors Florida to win Thursday's NHL matchup [10/1/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 55.9% win probability for the Panthers at SAP Center at San Jose.

NHL action continues on Thursday at 10:00 PM ET as the Florida Panthers square off with the San Jose Sharks at SAP Center at San Jose.
Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Panthers as the most likely winner in this Panthers vs. Sharks prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Panthers vs. Sharks prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Panthers a 55.9% chance of beating the Sharks. According to our model, the Sharks (+1.5) have a 65.6% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 53.3% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Puck Line: Panthers -1.5 (+165) / Sharks +1.5 (-189)
- Moneyline: Panthers -148, Sharks +130
- Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-115)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Puck line: Sharks +1.5 @ -189 via ESPN BET
- Moneyline: Sharks @ +130 via ESPN BET
- Total: Under 6.5 @ -115 via ESPN BET
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sharks to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Panthers vs. Sharks player props
Who will score a goal in Panthers vs. Sharks?
According to our model, Sam Reinhart is most likely to score an anytime goal in Panthers vs. Sharks.
Our projections give Reinhart a 39.4% chance of scoring a goal at SAP Center at San Jose, while the star is a 7.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Florida Panthers
- Sam Reinhart: 39.4% probability
- Brady Tkachuk: 32.9% probability
- Matthew Tkachuk: 32.5% probability
- Sam Bennett: 30.4% probability
- Carter Verhaeghe: 30.3% probability
San Jose Sharks
- Macklin Celebrini: 38.0% probability
- Will Smith: 26.5% probability
- Igor Chernyshov: 25.3% probability
- Kiefer Sherwood: 23.3% probability
- Mason Marchment: 23.2% probability
First goal scorer predictions
Florida Panthers
- Sam Reinhart: 7.9% probability
- Brady Tkachuk: 6.2% probability
- Matthew Tkachuk: 6.0% probability
- Carter Verhaeghe: 5.5% probability
- Sam Bennett: 5.3% probability
San Jose Sharks
- Macklin Celebrini: 7.5% probability
- Will Smith: 5.2% probability
- Igor Chernyshov: 4.5% probability
- Mason Marchment: 4.4% probability
- Kiefer Sherwood: 4.2% probability
Game info & puck drop details
Thursday's matchup between the Sharks and Panthers at SAP Center at San Jose is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Florida Panthers vs. San Jose Sharks
- Date: Thursday, October 1, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: SAP Center at San Jose
Conclusion
We predict the Panthers, with a 55.9% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks in Thursday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



