Kraken vs. Flames prediction: Why Calgary is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [10/1/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Kraken and Flames, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Flames a 51.4% chance of beating the Kraken. According to our model, the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 52.5% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Kraken -104, Flames -105
• Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-124/+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Flames @ -105 via FanDuel
• Total: Under 5.5 @ +105 via bet365

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flames to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Kraken vs. Flames player props

Who will score a goal in Kraken vs. Flames?

According to our model, Bobby McMann is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kraken vs. Flames.

Our projections give McMann a 33.4% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is a 7.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Seattle Kraken

• Bobby McMann: 33.4% probability
• Jared McCann: 31.2% probability
• Jordan Eberle: 26.3% probability
• Matty Beniers: 19.5% probability
• Kaapo Kakko: 18.8% probability

Calgary Flames

• Morgan Frost: 29.8% probability
• Joel Farabee: 24.8% probability
• Matthew Coronato: 23.9% probability
• Yegor Sharangovich: 22.7% probability
• Mikael Backlund: 22.1% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Seattle Kraken

• Bobby McMann: 7.2% probability
• Jared McCann: 6.1% probability
• Jordan Eberle: 5.0% probability
• Matty Beniers: 3.7% probability
• Kaapo Kakko: 3.5% probability

Calgary Flames

• Morgan Frost: 6.7% probability
• Joel Farabee: 4.7% probability
• Matthew Coronato: 4.5% probability
• Mikael Backlund: 4.3% probability
• Yegor Sharangovich: 4.2% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Thursday's matchup between the Flames and Kraken at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Kraken vs. Calgary Flames
• Date: Thursday, October 1, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

Conclusion

We predict the Flames, with a 51.4% win probability, will likely beat the Kraken in Thursday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.