Wild vs. Flames prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 22, 2026

The Minnesota Wild are favored to beat the Calgary Flames on Thursday, according to Dimers' NHL pregame model.

Our Wild vs. Flames prediction gives Minnesota a 62.3% chance of winning at Scotiabank Saddledome, but the latest odds suggest the Flames may offer better betting value despite being the underdog.

Wild vs. Flames: Key predictions

• Wild win probability: 62.3%
• Flames win probability: 37.6%
• Flames +1.5 puck line: 59.9% cover probability
• Under 6 goals: 51.6% probability

Dimers' NHL pregame model estimates how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent form, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

These projections power our NHL predictions, which show the probability of each team winning, covering the puck line, and the total goals going over or under the betting line.

Wild vs. Flames odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets monitored by Dimers.

• Wild moneyline: 66¢ (Novig)
• Flames moneyline: 35¢ (Novig)
• Wild -1.5: 43¢ (Novig)
• Flames +1.5: 58¢ (Novig)
• Over 6 goals: -110 (BetMGM)
• Under 6 goals: -106 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Flames moneyline (35¢)

The Wild may be more likely to win, but Dimers' top value bet is the Flames moneyline at 35¢, available at Novig.

Those odds imply the Flames have a 34.5% chance of winning, while our model puts that probability at 37.6%.

That's a 3.1% edge in the Flames' favor, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Wild vs. Flames goal-scorer predictions

Unlike our NHL pregame model, Dimers' NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, the opposing team, and projected team goals.

Kirill Kaprizov of the Wild leads Thursday's anytime goal-scorer projections at 50.0%, ahead of teammate Matt Boldy (44.8%). Calgary's most likely goal-scorer, Morgan Frost, is further back at 26.0%. Kaprizov also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 11.7%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

• Kirill Kaprizov (Wild): 50.0%
• Matt Boldy (Wild): 44.8%
• Joel Ek (Wild): 27.4%
• Morgan Frost (Flames): 26.0%
• Joel Farabee (Flames): 25.6%

First goal-scorer predictions

• Kirill Kaprizov (Wild): 11.7%
• Matt Boldy (Wild): 10.3%
• Joel Ek (Wild): 5.7%
• Joel Farabee (Flames): 4.9%
• Yegor Sharangovich (Flames): 4.7%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Wild vs. Flames predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Thursday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets.

See our full range of Wild vs. Flames predictions.

Wild vs. Flames game details

• Matchup: Minnesota Wild vs. Calgary Flames
• Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
• Puck drop: 9:00 PM ET/6:00 PM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NHL models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.