Sharks vs. Senators prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 22, 2026

The Ottawa Senators are favored to beat the San Jose Sharks on Thursday, according to Dimers' NHL pregame model.

Our Sharks vs. Senators prediction gives Ottawa a 59.0% chance of winning at Canadian Tire Centre, with the latest odds also suggesting value in betting on the Senators to win.

Sharks vs. Senators: Key predictions

• Senators win probability: 59.0%
• Sharks win probability: 41.0%
• Sharks +1.5 puck line: 62.6% cover probability
• Under 6.5 goals: 54.3% probability

Dimers' NHL pregame model estimates how many goals each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent form, shooting and save percentages, home-ice advantage, and rest.

These projections power our NHL predictions, which show the probability of each team winning, covering the puck line, and the total goals going over or under the betting line.

Sharks vs. Senators odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets monitored by Dimers.

• Sharks moneyline: 46¢ (Novig)
• Senators moneyline: 55¢ (Novig)
• Sharks +1.5: 66¢ (Novig)
• Senators -1.5: 34¢ (Novig)
• Over 6.5 goals: 49¢ (Novig)
• Under 6.5 goals: 52¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Senators moneyline (55¢)

With Ottawa favored to beat San Jose, Dimers' top value bet is the Senators moneyline at 55¢, available at Novig.

Those odds imply the Senators have a 55.0% chance of winning, while our model puts that probability at 59.0%.

That's a 4.1% edge (accounting for rounding) in the Senators' favor, the largest across the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Sharks vs. Senators goal-scorer predictions

Unlike our NHL pregame model, Dimers' NHL player props model simulates each matchup 10,000 times to estimate goal-scoring probabilities, factoring in expected player usage, lineup changes, the opposing team, and projected team goals.

Tim Stutzle of the Senators leads Thursday's anytime goal-scorer projections at 42.1%, followed by San Jose's Macklin Celebrini (38.7%). Stutzle also leads the first goal-scorer projections at 8.0%.

Most likely anytime goal-scorers

• Tim Stutzle (Senators): 42.1%
• Macklin Celebrini (Sharks): 38.7%
• Drake Batherson (Senators): 38.1%
• Shane Pinto (Senators): 30.5%
• Will Smith (Sharks): 28.3%

First goal-scorer predictions

• Tim Stutzle (Senators): 8.0%
• Drake Batherson (Senators): 7.8%
• Macklin Celebrini (Sharks): 7.5%
• Dylan Cozens (Senators): 5.2%
• Shane Pinto (Senators): 5.2%

These are model probabilities, not betting recommendations. Compare projections with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Sharks vs. Senators predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Thursday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Best bets for the moneyline, puck line, and total goals markets.
• Full anytime and first goal-scorer probabilities for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across anytime goal-scorer, first goal-scorer, shots on goal, points, and assists markets.

See our full range of Sharks vs. Senators predictions.

Sharks vs. Senators game details

• Matchup: San Jose Sharks vs. Ottawa Senators
• Date: Thursday, October 22, 2026
• Puck drop: 7:00 PM ET/4:00 PM PT
• Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NHL models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.