Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Jenson Brooksby prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Davidovich Fokina-Brooksby men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Davidovich Fokina a 60% chance of beating Brooksby at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament. Additionally, Davidovich Fokina has a 58% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Brooksby (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 55% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Jenson Brooksby +190, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -227
• First Set: Davidovich Fokina -189, Brooksby +150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Brooksby @ +190 via DraftKings
• First Set: Brooksby @ -139 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Jenson Brooksby is scheduled to start on Friday at 2:20 AM ET.

• Who: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Jenson Brooksby
• Date: Friday, October 9, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:20 AM ET/11:20PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Jenson Brooksby at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.