Karen Khachanov vs. Arthur Fery prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Khachanov-Fery men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Khachanov a 69% chance of defeating Fery at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament. Additionally, Khachanov has a 66% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Fery (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Arthur Fery +200, Karen Khachanov -208
• First Set: Khachanov -200, Fery +162

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Khachanov @ -208 via DraftKings
• First Set: Fery @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Karen Khachanov to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Karen Khachanov and Arthur Fery is scheduled to start on Friday at 2:20 AM ET.

• Who: Karen Khachanov vs. Arthur Fery
• Date: Friday, October 9, 2026
• Approx. Time: 2:20 AM ET/11:20PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Karen Khachanov, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Arthur Fery at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.