Yi Zhou vs. Lorenzo Musetti prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2026

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Friday's Zhou-Musetti men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Musetti an 80% chance of defeating Zhou at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament. Additionally, Musetti has a 75% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Musetti (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Lorenzo Musetti -500, Yi Zhou +400
• First Set: Zhou +300, Musetti -400

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Zhou @ +400 via DraftKings
• First Set: Musetti @ -120 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Yi Zhou to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Yi Zhou and Lorenzo Musetti is scheduled to begin on Friday at 7:10 AM ET.

• Who: Yi Zhou vs. Lorenzo Musetti
• Date: Friday, October 9, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:10 AM ET/4:10AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Lorenzo Musetti, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Yi Zhou at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.