Daniil Medvedev vs. Roman Safiullin prediction, odds, picks for ATP Hangzhou Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Monday's Medvedev-Safiullin men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Medvedev a 68% chance of defeating Safiullin at the ATP Hangzhou Open tournament. Additionally, Medvedev has a 66% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Safiullin (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 24.5 games has a 59% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Roman Safiullin +239, Daniil Medvedev -250
• First Set: Medvedev -227, Safiullin +175

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Safiullin @ +239 via DraftKings
• First Set: Safiullin @ -150 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Roman Safiullin to win.

Although Safiullin is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Hangzhou Open match between Daniil Medvedev and Roman Safiullin is scheduled to commence on Monday at 7:30 AM ET.

• Who: Daniil Medvedev vs. Roman Safiullin
• Date: Monday, September 28, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:30 AM ET/4:30AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Hangzhou, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Semifinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Daniil Medvedev, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Roman Safiullin at the ATP Hangzhou Open tournament.

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This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.