Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas prediction, odds, picks for ATP Almaty Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Saturday's Basilashvili-Tsitsipas men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Tsitsipas a 65% chance of defeating Basilashvili at the ATP Almaty Open tournament. Additionally, Tsitsipas has a 61% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Tsitsipas (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Stefanos Tsitsipas -250, Nikoloz Basilashvili +218
• First Set: Basilashvili +150, Tsitsipas -189

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Basilashvili @ +218 via DraftKings
• First Set: Tsitsipas @ -135 via DraftKings

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Nikoloz Basilashvili to win.

Although Basilashvili is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP Almaty Open match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Stefanos Tsitsipas is scheduled to begin on Saturday at 6:00 AM ET.

• Who: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
• Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026
• Approx. Time: 6:00 AM ET/3:00 AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Semifinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Stefanos Tsitsipas, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Nikoloz Basilashvili at the ATP Almaty Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.