Nuno Borges vs. Novak Djokovic prediction, odds, picks for ATP China Open 2026

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Borges-Djokovic men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Djokovic a 64% chance of beating Borges at the ATP China Open tournament. Additionally, Djokovic has a 60% chance of winning the first set, while the under 23.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Novak Djokovic -227, Nuno Borges +187
• First Set: Borges +150, Djokovic -189

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Borges @ +187 via DraftKings
• First Set: Djokovic @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Nuno Borges to win.

Although Borges is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The ATP China Open match between Nuno Borges and Novak Djokovic is scheduled to commence on Tuesday at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Nuno Borges vs. Novak Djokovic
• Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
• Approx. Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Beijing, China Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Novak Djokovic, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Nuno Borges at the ATP China Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.