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Read Article Sydney Swans vs. Adelaide Crows prediction: Swans favored to win Friday's AFL Round 19 matchup [7/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows predictions for AFL Friday.
The Sydney Swans will face the Adelaide Crows in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 5:40 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Swans as the most likely winner of the Crows vs. Swans game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Swans vs. Crows prediction: Who will win Round 19 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's AFL game between the Crows and Swans, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Swans a 68.0% chance of beating the Crows.
According to our model, the Swans (-13.5) have a 50.9% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 175.5 points has a 51.8% chance of staying under,.
Adelaide vs. Sydney odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Crows | Swans |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +185 | -238 |
| Line (Spread) | +13.5 (-115) | -13.5 (-115) |
| Total | o175.5 (-115) | u175.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Crows vs. Swans picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Swans -13.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Swans | -238 |
| Total | Under 175.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 175.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Swans vs. Crows game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football matchup between the Swans and Crows at Sydney Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 5:40 AM ET.
- Who: Adelaide Crows vs. Sydney Swans
- Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
- Time: 5:40 AM ET/2:40AM PT
- Venue: Sydney Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Swans, with a 68.0% win probability, will likely beat the Crows in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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