Richmond Tigers vs. Brisbane Lions prediction: Why Lions are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 14 matchup [6/13/2026]

The Richmond Tigers and Brisbane Lions will meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Blundstone on Saturday, starting at 11:10 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of the Lions vs. Tigers game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Tigers vs. Lions prediction: Who will win Round 14 game?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Lions and Tigers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Lions a 90.7% chance of defeating the Tigers.

According to our model, the Tigers (+52.5) have a 56.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 185.5-point over/under has a 50.5% chance of staying under,.

Brisbane vs. Richmond odds

We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lions	Tigers
H2H (Moneyline)	-2500	+950
Line (Spread)	-52.5 (-115)	+52.5 (-115)
Total	o185.5 (-115)	u185.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lions vs. Tigers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Tigers +52.5	-115
Moneyline	Tigers	+950
Total	Under 185.5	-115

According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigers +52.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Tigers vs. Lions game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Tigers and Lions at Blundstone is scheduled to commence at 11:10 PM ET.

• Who: Brisbane Lions vs. Richmond Tigers
• Date: Saturday, June 13, 2026
• Time: 11:10 PM ET/8:10PM PT
• Venue: Blundstone

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Conclusion

We predict the Lions, with a 90.7% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Saturday's AFL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.