Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article Gold Coast Suns vs. Collingwood Magpies prediction: Suns favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 17 matchup [7/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Gold Coast Suns vs Collingwood Magpies predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Gold Coast Suns and Collingwood Magpies will meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, starting at 2:15 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Suns as the most likely winner of the Magpies vs. Suns game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Suns vs. Magpies prediction: Who will win Round 17 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL game between the Magpies and Suns, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Suns a 57.6% chance of beating the Magpies.
Collingwood vs. Gold Coast odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Magpies | Suns |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +125 | -154 |
| Line (Spread) | +6.5 (-115) | -6.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Magpies vs. Suns picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Collingwood +6.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Magpies | +125 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Collingwood +6.5.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Suns vs. Magpies game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Suns and Magpies at Metricon Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:15 AM ET.
- Who: Collingwood Magpies vs. Gold Coast Suns
- Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
- Time: 2:15 AM ET/11:15PM PT
- Venue: Metricon Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Suns, with a 57.6% win probability, will likely beat the Magpies in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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