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Read Article Adelaide Crows vs. Gold Coast Suns prediction: Why Crows are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 18 matchup [7/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Adelaide Crows vs Gold Coast Suns predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Adelaide Crows will face the Gold Coast Suns in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, beginning at 6:10 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model projects the Crows as the most likely winner of the Suns vs. Crows game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Crows vs. Suns prediction: Who will win Round 18 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL game between the Suns and Crows, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Crows a 73.0% chance of beating the Suns.
According to our model, the Suns (+20.5) have a 53.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 158.5-point over/under has a 50.2% chance of staying under,.
Gold Coast vs. Adelaide odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Suns | Crows |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +280 | -385 |
| Line (Spread) | +20.5 (-115) | -20.5 (-115) |
| Total | o158.5 (-115) | u158.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Suns vs. Crows picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Suns +20.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Suns | +280 |
| Total | Under 158.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Suns to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Crows vs. Suns game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football game between the Crows and Suns at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to start at 6:10 AM ET.
- Who: Gold Coast Suns vs. Adelaide Crows
- Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
- Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Crows, with a 73.0% win probability, will likely beat the Suns in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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