Brisbane Lions vs. Port Adelaide Power prediction: Lions favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 20 matchup [7/25/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Brisbane Lions vs Port Adelaide Power predictions for AFL Saturday.

Brisbane Lions-Port Adelaide Power Predictions and Game Preview.
Brisbane Lions vs. Port Adelaide Power AFL prediction for Saturday, July 25, 2026.

The Brisbane Lions will take on the Port Adelaide Power in Australian Football League (AFL) action at The Gabba on Saturday, starting at 11:10 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Lions as the most likely winner of the Power vs. Lions game.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Lions vs. Power prediction: Who will win Round 20 game?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL game between the Power and Lions, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Lions an 88.0% chance of defeating the Power.

According to our model, the Power (+41.5) have a 55.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 188.5-point over/under has a 51.8% chance of staying under,.

 

Port Adelaide vs. Brisbane odds

We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Power Lions
H2H (Moneyline) +550 -909
Line (Spread) +41.5 (-115) -41.5 (-115)
Total o188.5 (-115) u188.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Power vs. Lions picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Power +41.5 -115
Moneyline Lions -909
Total Under 188.5 -115

According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Power +41.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Lions vs. Power game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Lions and Power at The Gabba is scheduled to begin at 11:10 PM ET.

  • Who: Port Adelaide Power vs. Brisbane Lions
  • Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
  • Time: 11:10 PM ET/8:10PM PT
  • Venue: The Gabba

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Conclusion

We predict the Lions, with an 88.0% win probability, will likely beat the Power in Saturday's AFL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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