Chicago State vs. Incarnate Word prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 5, 2026

Incarnate Word is favored to beat Chicago State at Alice P. McDermott Convocation Center on Thursday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Chicago State vs. Incarnate Word prediction gives Incarnate Word a 78.6% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the over 144.5 points.

Chicago State vs. Incarnate Word key predictions

• Predicted score: Incarnate Word 77-68 Chicago State
• Incarnate Word win probability: 78.6%
• Chicago State win probability: 21.4%
• Chicago State +7.5 spread: 50.6% cover probability
• Over 144.5 points: 53.0% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Chicago State vs. Incarnate Word odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Chicago State moneyline: +310 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Incarnate Word moneyline: -360 (BetRivers)
• Chicago State +7.5: -109 (BetRivers)
• Incarnate Word -7.5: -114 (BetRivers)
• Over 144.5 points: -109 (BetRivers)
• Under 144.5 points: -114 (BetRivers)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Chicago State vs. Incarnate Word pick: Over 144.5 (-109)

Our model makes Incarnate Word the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the over 144.5 total points at -109 on BetRivers.

Those odds give the over an implied probability of 52.2%, while our model puts it at 53.0%.

That's a 0.9% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Chicago State vs. Incarnate Word game details

• Matchup: Chicago State Cougars vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Alice P. McDermott Convocation Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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