Northwestern State vs. Mississippi State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 5, 2026

Mississippi State is favored to beat Northwestern State at Humphrey Coliseum on Thursday (7:30 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Northwestern State vs. Mississippi State prediction gives Mississippi State a 95.7% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest the best value is on Northwestern State to cover at +21.5.

Northwestern State vs. Mississippi State key predictions

• Predicted score: Mississippi State 86-66 Northwestern State
• Mississippi State win probability: 95.7%
• Northwestern State win probability: 4.3%
• Northwestern State +21.5 spread: 52.0% cover probability
• Under 152.5 points: 51.8% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Northwestern State vs. Mississippi State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Northwestern State moneyline: +1800 (DraftKings)
• Mississippi State moneyline: -5000 (BetMGM)
• Northwestern State +21.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Mississippi State -21.5: -109 (BetRivers)
• Over 152.5 points: -110 (BetRivers)
• Under 152.5 points: -113 (BetRivers)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Northwestern State vs. Mississippi State pick: Northwestern State +21.5 (-110)

Our model makes Mississippi State the likelier winner, but our best value bet is Northwestern State to cover the +21.5 spread at -110 on Caesars Sportsbook.

Those odds give Northwestern State an implied cover probability of 52.4%, while our model puts it at 52.0%.

Despite a -0.4% edge, it's still the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

Get every Northwestern State vs. Mississippi State prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Northwestern State vs. Mississippi State predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

Northwestern State vs. Mississippi State game details

• Matchup: Northwestern State Demons vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
• Date: Thursday, November 5, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.