Florida vs. Kentucky prediction favors Kentucky to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Florida vs. Kentucky, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Kentucky a 61.4% chance of defeating Florida. Our predicted final score has Kentucky winning 28-24. According to our model, Kentucky (-2.5) has a 57.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 52.5-point over/under has a 51.3% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Florida +2.5 (+111) / Kentucky -2.5 (-113)
• Moneyline: Florida +141, Kentucky -144
• Total: Over/Under 52.5 (-102/-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Kentucky -2.5 @ 53¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Kentucky @ 59¢ via Novig
• Total: Over 52.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Kentucky -2.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football action between Kentucky and Florida at Kroger Field is scheduled to start at 6:15 PM ET.

• Who: Florida vs. Kentucky
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 6:15 PM ET/3:15 PM PT
• Venue: Kroger Field

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Conclusion

We predict Kentucky, with a 61.4% win probability, will likely beat Florida in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.