Montana State vs. Idaho prediction: Why Montana State is favored to win in college football Week 5 [2026]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Montana State vs. Idaho, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Montana State an 80.6% chance of beating Idaho. Our predicted final score has Montana State winning 34-21. According to our model, Idaho (+14.5) has a 55.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 56.5 points has a 50.4% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Montana State -14.5 (-113) / Idaho +14.5 (-109)
• Moneyline: Montana State -564, Idaho +425
• Total: Over/Under 56.5 (-105/-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Idaho +14.5 @ -109 via Caesars
• Moneyline: Idaho @ +425 via Caesars
• Total: Over 56.5 @ -105 via Caesars

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Idaho +14.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Friday's college football game between Idaho and Montana State at P1FCU Kibbie Dome is scheduled to start at 10:30 PM ET.

• Who: Montana State vs. Idaho
• Date: Friday, October 2, 2026
• Time: 10:30 PM ET/7:30PM PT
• Venue: P1FCU Kibbie Dome

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Conclusion

We predict Montana State, with an 80.6% win probability, will likely beat Idaho in Friday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary College Football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.