Nevada vs. Northern Illinois prediction favors Nevada to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Nevada vs. Northern Illinois, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Nevada a 65.2% chance of defeating Northern Illinois. Our predicted final score has Nevada winning 26-22. According to our model, Northern Illinois (+5.5) has a 52.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point over/under has a 53.7% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Nevada -5.5 (+100) / Northern Illinois +5.5 (-102)
• Moneyline: Nevada -203, Northern Illinois +200
• Total: Over/Under 47.5 (+100/-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Northern Illinois +5.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Northern Illinois @ +200 via BetRivers
• Total: Over 47.5 @ 50¢ via Novig

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 47.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Northern Illinois and Nevada at Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:30 PM ET.

• Who: Nevada vs. Northern Illinois
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 3:30 PM ET/12:30 PM PT
• Venue: Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Nevada, with a 65.2% win probability, will likely beat Northern Illinois in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.