Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State prediction favors Oklahoma State to win in college football Week 11 [2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State, forming part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Oklahoma State a 61.6% chance of beating Texas Tech. Our predicted final score has Oklahoma State winning 37-33. According to our model, Oklahoma State (-3.5) has a 51.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 73.5 points has a 54.3% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Texas Tech +3.5 (-104) / Oklahoma State -3.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Texas Tech +153, Oklahoma State -156
• Total: Over/Under 73.5 (+102/-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Oklahoma State -3.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Oklahoma State @ -156 via FanDuel
• Total: Under 73.5 @ 51¢ via Novig

According to our best college football bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 73.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & kickoff details

Saturday's college football game between Oklahoma State and Texas Tech at Boone Pickens Stadium is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
• Date: Saturday, November 14, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30 PM PT
• Venue: Boone Pickens Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Oklahoma State, with a 61.6% win probability, will likely beat Texas Tech in Saturday's college football matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary college football prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.